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Monday, January 24, 2005

Casino Gambling Strategy casinos online

Casino Gambling Strategy

Regression Betting System (d'Alembert )

This system is designed for use on even chance bets in
casinos online

Concept

The idea behind the regression system is that every session starts with a wining bet and then builds on this foundation. You start by placing a 2 unit bet and if this wins you then reduce your next bet to 1 unit. By doing this your bankroll after the first winning bet will have increased by one unit whether or not you win the next bet. After your initial win you then increase the bet after every win by one unit, this means that you will not take a profit on the second win but after a number of consecutive wins you will start to rake in large amounts.

To compare how this system works against a series of flat bets I have set up a table that shows how your bankroll would fare if playing with $5 units.

Winning SequenceRegressionFlat Bet
L-$10-$10
W,L+$5+$0
W,W,L+$5+$10
W,W,W,L+$10+$20
W,W,W,W,L+$20+$30
W,W,W,W,W,L+$35+$40
W,W,W,W,W,W,L+$55+$50
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L+$80+$60
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L+$110+$70
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L+$145+$80
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L+$185+$90

From this table we can see that the regression system needs to get a series of at least six consecutive wins in order to show a larger profit than flat betting. Sessions between two and five wins show a smaller profit, but the big advantage of this system is that you can ride out a losing streak (or even show a small profit if the streak is not too severe), and still make a killing when the luck turns your way.

The Catch

There isn’t much of a catch to this system. You are trading off medium run wins for wins of one run and wins of 6+ runs. Remember that the house edge will be working on all bets and not just your initial bet, and that when your bets get very large you are playing with your money and NOT the casinos.

Blackjack

This system can be used effectively on blackjack, but remember that you may need extra money to double or split the cards. If the casino you are playing at allows multiple splits with doubles then a very promising win can turn bad very quickly. Always use the correct basic blackjack strategy but if the stakes are getting too high then it may be wise not to split or double. You may even decide to take insurance if the bet is very large (something you should not normally do) and it’s the difference between a losing day and a winning day. (note. Over the long run you will be better sticking to basic blackjack strategy).

Conclusion

This system can be very effective if you have the patience to wait for the long runs. You can have some great pay off's and still be picking up small bets through the bad times to keep your bankroll topped up. It’s very nice when you start out on a series of bets knowing that your bankroll has increased, but equally unpleasant when you see a $100 bet lose. Although it will not alter the long term edge the casino has, this system can be very useful - Learn it!


posted by casinos online gambling @ 9:36 AM


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